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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.60+8.18vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.73+3.07vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.38+2.99vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.78+4.41vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.78-0.26vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.15+2.48vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.39+2.95vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.53+1.76vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.23+4.94vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.29-3.70vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.99-2.04vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.59-3.14vs Predicted
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13Washington College1.66-3.91vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.05-2.48vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.71-3.32vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida0.90-4.16vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-6.11vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.83-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.18Dartmouth College1.605.7%1st Place
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5.07Yale University2.7313.9%1st Place
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5.99Bowdoin College2.3810.1%1st Place
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8.41Brown University1.785.5%1st Place
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4.74University of Rhode Island2.7815.5%1st Place
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8.48Tufts University2.155.9%1st Place
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9.95Boston University1.394.0%1st Place
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9.76Roger Williams University1.533.8%1st Place
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13.94Clemson University0.231.5%1st Place
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6.3Connecticut College2.298.7%1st Place
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8.96North Carolina State University1.995.3%1st Place
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8.86University of Pennsylvania1.594.4%1st Place
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9.09Washington College1.664.8%1st Place
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11.52Northeastern University1.052.5%1st Place
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11.68University of Vermont0.712.2%1st Place
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11.84University of South Florida0.902.9%1st Place
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10.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.223.1%1st Place
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16.35Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.830.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Eastman | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Jack Egan | 13.9% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 15.5% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Riley Read | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Garrett Cook | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 23.9% | 15.9% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Scott Harris | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Matt Hersey | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 4.0% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 3.8% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 4.2% |
| Lars Osell | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 2.3% |
| Gunnar Pierson | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 11.6% | 63.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.