← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University4.19+1.15vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii3.68+0.81vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+2.99vs Predicted
-
4California State University Monterey Bay1.63+3.17vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California2.64-0.30vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego1.18+2.04vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley2.12-1.28vs Predicted
-
8Santa Clara University1.55-0.96vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-1.38vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Irvine1.71-3.25vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-2.99vs Predicted
-
12California State University Monterey Bay1.63-4.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.15Stanford University4.190.4%1st Place
-
2.81University of Hawaii3.680.3%1st Place
-
5.99University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
-
7.17California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
-
4.7University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
-
8.04University of California at San Diego1.180.0%1st Place
-
5.72University of California at Berkeley2.120.1%1st Place
-
7.04Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
-
7.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
-
6.75University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
-
8.01University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
-
7.17California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Chung | 38.5% | 28.7% | 18.9% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 26.0% | 25.2% | 19.5% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 5.4% | 5.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 8.6% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wooldridge | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 18.2% | 22.5% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 3.7% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 17.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 16.8% | 21.9% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.