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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Monterey Bay1.63+6.14vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.68+0.80vs Predicted
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3Stanford University4.19-0.82vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego1.18+4.20vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University1.55+2.22vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley2.12-0.11vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.14-1.35vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay1.63-0.86vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-1.53vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California2.64-5.26vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-2.95vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine1.71-5.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.14California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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2.8University of Hawaii3.680.3%1st Place
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2.18Stanford University4.190.4%1st Place
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8.2University of California at San Diego1.180.0%1st Place
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7.22Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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5.89University of California at Berkeley2.120.1%1st Place
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5.65University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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7.14California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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7.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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4.74University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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8.05University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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6.67University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Hurdle | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 25.5% | 26.8% | 17.9% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 39.0% | 29.1% | 16.1% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wooldridge | 1.7% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 17.9% | 23.2% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 5.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 6.9% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 8.7% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 16.5% | 24.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 2.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.