← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College2.38+5.05vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University1.99+6.91vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.73+1.91vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College1.60+5.38vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College2.29+1.40vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University2.15+2.30vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island2.78-2.29vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania1.59+0.79vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22+1.65vs Predicted
-
10Washington College1.66-0.93vs Predicted
-
11Brown University1.78-2.62vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University1.53-1.94vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University1.05-1.51vs Predicted
-
14Boston University1.39-4.13vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont0.71-3.34vs Predicted
-
16University of South Florida0.90-4.09vs Predicted
-
17Clemson University0.23-2.95vs Predicted
-
18Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.83-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.05Bowdoin College2.3810.0%1st Place
-
8.91North Carolina State University1.994.6%1st Place
-
4.91Yale University2.7315.0%1st Place
-
9.38Dartmouth College1.604.8%1st Place
-
6.4Connecticut College2.298.7%1st Place
-
8.3Tufts University2.156.0%1st Place
-
4.71University of Rhode Island2.7817.0%1st Place
-
8.79University of Pennsylvania1.595.2%1st Place
-
10.65U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.223.1%1st Place
-
9.07Washington College1.664.8%1st Place
-
8.38Brown University1.785.1%1st Place
-
10.06Roger Williams University1.533.0%1st Place
-
11.49Northeastern University1.052.2%1st Place
-
9.87Boston University1.394.0%1st Place
-
11.66University of Vermont0.712.4%1st Place
-
11.91University of South Florida0.902.5%1st Place
-
14.05Clemson University0.231.1%1st Place
-
16.42Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.830.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Hall | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Jack Egan | 15.0% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 17.0% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Lars Osell | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Riley Read | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Matt Hersey | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 3.9% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 4.5% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 4.5% |
| Garrett Cook | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 24.6% | 17.0% |
| Gunnar Pierson | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 13.6% | 62.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.