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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.68+1.94vs Predicted
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2Stanford University4.19+0.17vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University1.55+4.51vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+2.15vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay1.63+2.12vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego1.81+0.77vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.64-2.33vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley2.12-2.09vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-1.25vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-1.82vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine1.71-4.18vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay1.63-4.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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2.17Stanford University4.190.4%1st Place
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7.51Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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6.15University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
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7.12California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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6.77University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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4.67University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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5.91University of California at Berkeley2.120.1%1st Place
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7.75Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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8.18University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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6.82University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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7.12California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Pokras | 21.8% | 25.7% | 20.0% | 15.6% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 41.9% | 26.0% | 15.7% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 9.8% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 5.8% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 17.2% | 18.8% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 27.6% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 2.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.