← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University4.19+1.17vs Predicted
-
2Santa Clara University1.55+5.36vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii3.68-0.06vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+2.15vs Predicted
-
5California State University Monterey Bay1.63+2.18vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego1.81+0.78vs Predicted
-
7University of Southern California2.64-2.35vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Cruz1.12+0.24vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley2.12-2.92vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-2.36vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Irvine1.71-4.20vs Predicted
-
12California State University Monterey Bay1.63-4.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.17Stanford University4.190.4%1st Place
-
7.36Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
-
2.94University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
-
6.15University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
-
7.18California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
-
6.78University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
-
4.65University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
-
8.24University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
-
6.08University of California at Berkeley2.120.1%1st Place
-
7.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
-
6.8University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
-
7.18California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Chung | 40.8% | 25.9% | 18.0% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 3.5% | 2.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 22.2% | 26.3% | 18.6% | 14.8% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 8.8% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 16.3% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 27.3% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 19.8% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 2.9% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.