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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.78+7.31vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.38+4.02vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.71+8.77vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.29+2.49vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.59+3.69vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.53+4.08vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.05+4.67vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.78-3.16vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.39+0.93vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.73-4.96vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.15-2.70vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida0.90-0.08vs Predicted
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13Washington College1.66-3.88vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-3.46vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.99-5.97vs Predicted
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16Clemson University0.23-2.02vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College1.60-8.10vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.83-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.31Brown University1.785.5%1st Place
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6.02Bowdoin College2.3810.5%1st Place
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11.77University of Vermont0.711.7%1st Place
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6.49Connecticut College2.298.9%1st Place
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8.69University of Pennsylvania1.595.2%1st Place
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10.08Roger Williams University1.534.5%1st Place
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11.67Northeastern University1.052.1%1st Place
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4.84University of Rhode Island2.7815.0%1st Place
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9.93Boston University1.392.9%1st Place
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5.04Yale University2.7315.7%1st Place
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8.3Tufts University2.156.3%1st Place
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11.92University of South Florida0.902.1%1st Place
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9.12Washington College1.664.9%1st Place
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10.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.223.4%1st Place
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9.03North Carolina State University1.994.6%1st Place
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13.98Clemson University0.231.1%1st Place
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8.9Dartmouth College1.604.9%1st Place
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16.39Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.830.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Hall | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 4.5% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Riley Read | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Matt Hersey | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 3.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 15.0% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Jack Egan | 15.7% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 5.3% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Lars Osell | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 1.8% |
| Scott Harris | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Garrett Cook | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 23.9% | 17.2% |
| Taylor Eastman | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Gunnar Pierson | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 12.7% | 62.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.