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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.19+1.17vs Predicted
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2Santa Clara University1.55+5.35vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.64+1.97vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley2.12+2.22vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+0.92vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego1.81+0.77vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii3.68-4.27vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine1.71-1.15vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay1.63-1.74vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay1.63-2.74vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-2.77vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-4.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17Stanford University4.190.4%1st Place
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7.35Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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4.97University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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6.22University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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5.92University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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6.77University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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2.73University of Hawaii3.680.3%1st Place
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6.85University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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7.26California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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7.26California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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8.23University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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7.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Chung | 39.6% | 27.4% | 17.9% | 9.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 7.2% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 3.3% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 26.8% | 27.4% | 18.3% | 13.2% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 28.7% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.