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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.78+3.76vs Predicted
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2Washington College1.66+7.20vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.71+8.71vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.29+2.47vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.05+6.37vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.53+3.98vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.15+1.41vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.60+1.22vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.38-2.96vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.39-0.26vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.99-2.07vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.78-3.67vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.59-4.18vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida0.90-2.21vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-4.17vs Predicted
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16Yale University2.73-10.95vs Predicted
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17Clemson University0.23-3.02vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.83-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.76University of Rhode Island2.7816.6%1st Place
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9.2Washington College1.664.8%1st Place
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11.71University of Vermont0.712.9%1st Place
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6.47Connecticut College2.298.7%1st Place
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11.37Northeastern University1.052.5%1st Place
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9.98Roger Williams University1.533.5%1st Place
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8.41Tufts University2.155.7%1st Place
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9.22Dartmouth College1.604.4%1st Place
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6.04Bowdoin College2.3810.8%1st Place
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9.74Boston University1.393.8%1st Place
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8.93North Carolina State University1.995.8%1st Place
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8.33Brown University1.785.1%1st Place
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8.82University of Pennsylvania1.594.9%1st Place
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11.79University of South Florida0.901.8%1st Place
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10.83U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.223.0%1st Place
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5.05Yale University2.7313.8%1st Place
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13.98Clemson University0.231.7%1st Place
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16.35Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.830.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 16.6% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 5.3% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matt Hersey | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 4.2% |
| Riley Read | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Taylor Eastman | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Hall | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Scott Harris | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 5.1% |
| Lars Osell | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
| Jack Egan | 13.8% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Garrett Cook | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 23.8% | 15.8% |
| Gunnar Pierson | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 12.8% | 61.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.