Race 10A

pccsc-coed

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

8.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Kieran Chung 39.3% 26.3% 18.1% 10.1% 4.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Stokes 4.9% 6.1% 9.7% 10.0% 12.8% 15.1% 9.5% 12.7% 10.2% 6.3% 2.7% 0.0%
Mark Hurdle 3.0% 4.4% 4.5% 6.5% 8.1% 9.0% 10.5% 13.8% 13.3% 13.7% 13.2% 0.0%
Dylan Ale 2.5% 4.0% 3.9% 6.1% 6.3% 9.4% 11.0% 13.2% 14.6% 12.8% 16.2% 0.0%
Adam Pokras 25.0% 25.2% 18.8% 12.8% 8.9% 5.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Spilman 1.2% 3.2% 2.7% 4.1% 7.2% 6.0% 8.5% 9.7% 11.2% 17.9% 28.3% 0.0%
Cameron Hutcheson 9.5% 11.6% 14.8% 15.9% 13.3% 10.8% 11.8% 4.5% 4.1% 2.9% 0.8% 0.0%
Travis Benton 5.1% 7.3% 9.1% 11.7% 12.4% 12.3% 11.2% 10.8% 8.7% 7.2% 4.2% 0.0%
Nicolas Delfino 3.6% 4.2% 6.2% 7.9% 10.1% 11.3% 12.8% 11.0% 13.2% 11.3% 8.4% 0.0%
David Cornella 2.3% 3.6% 4.7% 6.8% 6.9% 9.1% 9.9% 10.2% 13.1% 15.0% 18.4% 0.0%
Mark Hurdle 3.0% 4.4% 4.5% 6.5% 8.1% 9.0% 10.5% 13.8% 13.3% 13.7% 13.2% 0.0%
Samuel Heller 3.6% 4.1% 7.5% 8.1% 10.0% 10.1% 11.9% 13.2% 11.0% 12.7% 7.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.