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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.78+7.44vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.78+2.82vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.73+2.15vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.38+2.02vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.29+1.45vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.90+5.78vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.60+1.99vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.05+3.34vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22+1.59vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.39-0.04vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.15-2.38vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.99-3.30vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.71-1.37vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.59-5.29vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.53-5.02vs Predicted
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16Washington College1.66-6.97vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.83-0.83vs Predicted
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18Clemson University-0.17-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.44Brown University1.785.7%1st Place
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4.82University of Rhode Island2.7815.4%1st Place
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5.15Yale University2.7314.6%1st Place
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6.02Bowdoin College2.389.8%1st Place
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6.45Connecticut College2.298.5%1st Place
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11.78University of South Florida0.902.1%1st Place
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8.99Dartmouth College1.604.7%1st Place
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11.34Northeastern University1.053.1%1st Place
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10.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.223.4%1st Place
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9.96Boston University1.393.6%1st Place
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8.62Tufts University2.154.4%1st Place
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8.7North Carolina State University1.995.5%1st Place
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11.63University of Vermont0.712.5%1st Place
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8.71University of Pennsylvania1.595.4%1st Place
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9.98Roger Williams University1.534.0%1st Place
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9.03Washington College1.665.5%1st Place
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16.17Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.830.4%1st Place
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14.62Clemson University-0.171.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 15.4% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Egan | 14.6% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 4.9% |
| Taylor Eastman | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Matt Hersey | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 3.5% |
| Lars Osell | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Scott Harris | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 4.5% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Riley Read | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Gunnar Pierson | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 15.3% | 55.5% |
| Samantha Bialek | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 27.0% | 23.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.