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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.19+0.98vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.92+1.90vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.64+1.68vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay1.63+3.12vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+0.67vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University1.55+1.17vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay1.63+0.12vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine1.71-1.44vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley2.12-3.34vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego1.18-2.00vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-3.65vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-4.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98Stanford University4.190.5%1st Place
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3.9University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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4.68University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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7.12California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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5.67University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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7.17Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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7.12California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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6.56University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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5.66University of California at Berkeley2.120.1%1st Place
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8.0University of California at San Diego1.180.0%1st Place
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7.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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7.91University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Chung | 46.2% | 26.8% | 15.3% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 13.7% | 18.2% | 17.4% | 15.8% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 9.4% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wooldridge | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 17.3% | 23.4% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.8% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 22.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.