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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.78+3.69vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.78+6.57vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.73+2.00vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.15+4.45vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.38+1.06vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.05+5.43vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.60+2.03vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.71+3.59vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.53+1.16vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.29-3.72vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida0.90+0.75vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.99-3.15vs Predicted
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13Washington College1.66-3.99vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.59-5.29vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.39-5.11vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-5.37vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.83-0.78vs Predicted
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18Clemson University-0.17-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69University of Rhode Island2.7816.2%1st Place
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8.57Brown University1.784.9%1st Place
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5.0Yale University2.7313.8%1st Place
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8.45Tufts University2.154.9%1st Place
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6.06Bowdoin College2.3810.5%1st Place
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11.43Northeastern University1.053.5%1st Place
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9.03Dartmouth College1.605.0%1st Place
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11.59University of Vermont0.712.5%1st Place
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10.16Roger Williams University1.532.9%1st Place
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6.28Connecticut College2.299.2%1st Place
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11.75University of South Florida0.902.0%1st Place
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8.85North Carolina State University1.995.9%1st Place
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9.01Washington College1.664.6%1st Place
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8.71University of Pennsylvania1.595.1%1st Place
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9.89Boston University1.394.1%1st Place
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10.63U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.223.5%1st Place
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16.22Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.830.5%1st Place
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14.68Clemson University-0.170.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 16.2% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Jack Egan | 13.8% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Hall | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Matt Hersey | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 3.8% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 4.6% |
| Riley Read | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 9.2% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 4.0% |
| Scott Harris | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Lars Osell | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 2.1% |
| Gunnar Pierson | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 16.9% | 56.0% |
| Samantha Bialek | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 11.8% | 25.8% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.