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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.19+0.98vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.92+1.92vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+2.87vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine1.71+2.89vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University1.55+2.10vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay1.63+0.95vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.18+0.78vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.64-3.55vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley2.12-3.24vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-2.64vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay1.63-4.05vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-4.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98Stanford University4.190.5%1st Place
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3.92University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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5.87University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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6.89University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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7.1Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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6.95California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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7.78University of California at San Diego1.180.0%1st Place
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4.45University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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5.76University of California at Berkeley2.120.1%1st Place
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7.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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6.95California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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7.95University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Chung | 45.4% | 27.8% | 15.6% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 13.7% | 17.2% | 17.7% | 15.6% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wooldridge | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 20.6% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 10.0% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 22.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.