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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.59+7.62vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.05+9.17vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.73+1.97vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.99+4.97vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.78-0.30vs Predicted
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6Washington College1.66+2.97vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.90+4.99vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.29-1.52vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.53+0.81vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.15-1.67vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.78-2.42vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.38-5.93vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.60-3.90vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.39-4.32vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.71-3.36vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-5.33vs Predicted
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17Clemson University-0.17-2.04vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.83-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.62University of Pennsylvania1.594.5%1st Place
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11.17Northeastern University1.052.6%1st Place
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4.97Yale University2.7314.8%1st Place
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8.97North Carolina State University1.994.7%1st Place
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4.7University of Rhode Island2.7815.8%1st Place
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8.97Washington College1.665.3%1st Place
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11.99University of South Florida0.902.1%1st Place
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6.48Connecticut College2.299.2%1st Place
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9.81Roger Williams University1.534.1%1st Place
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8.33Tufts University2.155.8%1st Place
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8.58Brown University1.785.9%1st Place
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6.07Bowdoin College2.3810.3%1st Place
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9.1Dartmouth College1.605.0%1st Place
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9.68Boston University1.394.3%1st Place
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11.64University of Vermont0.711.9%1st Place
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10.67U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.222.9%1st Place
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14.96Clemson University-0.170.4%1st Place
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16.3Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.830.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Sharpless | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Matt Hersey | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 2.4% |
| Jack Egan | 14.8% | 15.2% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 15.8% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 4.3% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 9.2% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Riley Read | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Hall | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 2.9% |
| Lars Osell | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 2.2% |
| Samantha Bialek | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 26.2% | 26.0% |
| Gunnar Pierson | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 15.9% | 57.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.