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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.70+1.41vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+1.60vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.04+0.65vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.47+0.70vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.60+1.53vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.48+0.82vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay0.61+1.50vs Predicted
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8Santa Clara University1.42-1.19vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.95-0.99vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-1.96vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine1.35-4.07vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay0.61-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41Stanford University3.700.4%1st Place
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3.6University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.2%1st Place
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3.65University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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4.7University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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6.53University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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6.82University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
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8.5California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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6.81Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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8.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.950.0%1st Place
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8.04University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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6.93University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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8.5California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Screve | 36.7% | 23.1% | 18.2% | 11.8% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 17.0% | 19.3% | 17.7% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 15.4% | 18.2% | 18.6% | 15.5% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 9.5% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 15.5% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hiew | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 14.8% | 17.5% | 29.5% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Graham Gooding | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 19.6% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 17.5% | 21.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 14.8% | 17.5% | 29.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.