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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.29+5.39vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.99+6.94vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.05+8.28vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.38+2.07vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.15+3.32vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22+4.52vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.59+1.87vs Predicted
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8Washington College1.66+1.11vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.73-3.93vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.71+1.63vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.39-1.23vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.78-3.69vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.60-4.01vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.53-4.12vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida0.90-3.10vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.83+0.36vs Predicted
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17Clemson University-0.17-2.34vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.78-13.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.39Connecticut College2.298.9%1st Place
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8.94North Carolina State University1.994.3%1st Place
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11.28Northeastern University1.052.8%1st Place
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6.07Bowdoin College2.3811.3%1st Place
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8.32Tufts University2.156.3%1st Place
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10.52U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.223.5%1st Place
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8.87University of Pennsylvania1.594.7%1st Place
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9.11Washington College1.664.4%1st Place
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5.07Yale University2.7314.1%1st Place
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11.63University of Vermont0.712.3%1st Place
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9.77Boston University1.393.9%1st Place
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8.31Brown University1.785.9%1st Place
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8.99Dartmouth College1.604.7%1st Place
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9.88Roger Williams University1.533.3%1st Place
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11.9University of South Florida0.901.9%1st Place
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16.36Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.830.5%1st Place
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14.66Clemson University-0.171.1%1st Place
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4.93University of Rhode Island2.7816.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Whittemore | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Matt Hersey | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 3.9% |
| Thomas Hall | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Lars Osell | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 1.5% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Jack Egan | 14.1% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 3.8% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Eastman | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Riley Read | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 5.0% |
| Gunnar Pierson | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 15.9% | 58.1% |
| Samantha Bialek | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 27.0% | 22.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 16.2% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.