← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+2.71vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.70+0.38vs Predicted
-
3California State University Monterey Bay0.61+5.72vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego1.60+2.71vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii3.04-1.48vs Predicted
-
6University of Southern California2.47-1.36vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley1.48-0.41vs Predicted
-
8Santa Clara University1.42-1.19vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.95-1.01vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-1.96vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Irvine1.35-4.10vs Predicted
-
12California State University Monterey Bay0.61-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.71University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
-
2.38Stanford University3.700.4%1st Place
-
8.72California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
-
6.71University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
-
3.52University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
-
4.64University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
-
6.59University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
-
6.81Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
-
7.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.950.0%1st Place
-
8.04University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
-
6.9University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
-
8.72California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Long | 14.2% | 18.9% | 16.4% | 17.3% | 14.5% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Screve | 36.4% | 25.1% | 19.1% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 18.9% | 33.4% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 17.6% | 19.1% | 19.1% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 10.3% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hiew | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Graham Gooding | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 19.3% | 18.6% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 17.3% | 20.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 18.9% | 33.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.