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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.70+1.45vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+1.63vs Predicted
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3California State University Monterey Bay0.61+5.73vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.04-0.41vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.48+1.79vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University1.42+0.98vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.60-0.61vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.00vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.95-1.01vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine1.35-3.03vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay0.61-2.27vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California2.47-7.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45Stanford University3.700.3%1st Place
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3.63University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.2%1st Place
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8.73California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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3.59University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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6.79University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
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6.98Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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6.39University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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8.0University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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7.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.950.0%1st Place
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6.97University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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8.73California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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4.48University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Screve | 34.1% | 25.1% | 19.0% | 11.5% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 16.0% | 18.3% | 18.7% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 20.2% | 31.5% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 17.4% | 16.5% | 18.2% | 18.1% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hiew | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 18.0% | 18.7% | 0.0% |
| Graham Gooding | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 18.7% | 18.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 20.2% | 31.5% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 10.0% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.