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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.70+1.44vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.04+1.46vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+0.77vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay0.61+4.78vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University1.42+1.92vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.48+0.81vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.60-0.66vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-0.01vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine1.35-1.85vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.95-2.13vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay0.61-2.22vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California2.47-7.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44Stanford University3.700.4%1st Place
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3.46University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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3.77University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
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8.78California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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6.92Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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6.81University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
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6.34University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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7.99University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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7.15University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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7.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.950.0%1st Place
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8.78California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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4.46University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Screve | 35.1% | 23.3% | 19.7% | 12.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 18.3% | 19.9% | 18.4% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 14.2% | 16.7% | 18.9% | 16.6% | 13.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 20.4% | 32.2% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hiew | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 18.0% | 19.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Graham Gooding | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 15.7% | 16.3% | 18.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 20.4% | 32.2% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 10.4% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.