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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.59+7.24vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.78+6.03vs Predicted
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3Washington College1.66+5.50vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.29+2.18vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.05+5.78vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.60+2.67vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.53+2.40vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.73-3.15vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22+1.11vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.99-1.44vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.78-6.41vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida0.90-1.01vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.15-5.02vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.38-8.24vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.71-4.04vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.83-0.59vs Predicted
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17Clemson University-0.17-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.24University of Pennsylvania1.595.3%1st Place
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8.03Brown University1.786.0%1st Place
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8.5Washington College1.664.7%1st Place
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6.18Connecticut College2.2910.2%1st Place
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10.78Northeastern University1.052.5%1st Place
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8.67Dartmouth College1.605.1%1st Place
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9.4Roger Williams University1.533.7%1st Place
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4.85Yale University2.7315.2%1st Place
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10.11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.223.4%1st Place
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8.56North Carolina State University1.994.7%1st Place
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4.59University of Rhode Island2.7816.3%1st Place
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10.99University of South Florida0.902.6%1st Place
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7.98Tufts University2.154.5%1st Place
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5.76Bowdoin College2.3812.0%1st Place
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10.96University of Vermont0.712.8%1st Place
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15.41Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.830.5%1st Place
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13.97Clemson University-0.170.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Sharpless | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Matt Hersey | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 3.2% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Riley Read | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Jack Egan | 15.2% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lars Osell | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
| Scott Harris | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 16.3% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 4.5% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Hall | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 3.2% |
| Gunnar Pierson | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 16.3% | 57.7% |
| Samantha Bialek | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 28.2% | 24.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.