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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.64+1.05vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University-1.65+3.03vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-0.55+0.40vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-1.04+0.07vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame0.31-2.61vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-2.31-0.07vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-2.29-1.04vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-3.39-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.05Ohio State University0.6440.6%1st Place
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5.03Michigan State University-1.653.7%1st Place
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3.4Michigan Technological University-0.5512.4%1st Place
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4.07University of Michigan-1.048.9%1st Place
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2.39University of Notre Dame0.3129.5%1st Place
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5.93Western Michigan University-2.312.1%1st Place
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5.96Michigan Technological University-2.291.8%1st Place
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7.17Marquette University-3.391.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Hershey | 40.6% | 30.1% | 17.4% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 3.7% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 15.0% | 23.4% | 21.9% | 15.3% | 5.5% |
| Gavin Parsons | 12.4% | 16.8% | 24.2% | 23.1% | 14.6% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Connor Caplis | 8.9% | 9.7% | 16.5% | 23.0% | 22.1% | 12.6% | 6.0% | 1.2% |
| Michael Cyrul | 29.5% | 30.9% | 20.6% | 11.5% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kate Heaman | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 24.1% | 28.9% | 15.7% |
| Astrid Myhre | 1.8% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 13.3% | 24.2% | 29.9% | 15.3% |
| Elizabeth Lothian | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 17.5% | 62.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.