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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.80+1.30vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.04+1.46vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+0.79vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.47+0.71vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University1.42+1.89vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine1.35+1.08vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay0.61+1.38vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-1.20vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.61-0.62vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.48-3.20vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego1.60-4.64vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3Stanford University3.800.4%1st Place
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3.46University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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3.79University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
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4.71University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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6.89Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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7.08University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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8.38California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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6.8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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8.38California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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6.8University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
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6.36University of California at San Diego1.600.1%1st Place
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9.43University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Henken | 37.5% | 25.6% | 18.6% | 10.3% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 17.6% | 19.7% | 19.4% | 15.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 14.2% | 16.7% | 18.4% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 8.8% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 21.8% | 22.8% | 0.0% |
| Kiersten McDonald | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 21.8% | 22.8% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hiew | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 16.6% | 48.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.