Race 17A

moody

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Thomas Whittemore 9.1% 10.2% 9.3% 9.2% 10.5% 9.1% 8.2% 8.0% 6.7% 5.9% 5.0% 4.2% 2.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Stewart Gurnell 5.1% 5.4% 6.2% 6.2% 6.2% 5.9% 6.4% 7.9% 8.8% 9.1% 8.2% 7.9% 6.7% 5.9% 3.6% 0.6%
Riley Read 4.7% 4.3% 5.0% 5.0% 4.9% 6.0% 6.3% 5.9% 7.7% 8.6% 8.5% 9.4% 8.0% 8.3% 5.9% 1.6%
Ryan Hamilton 2.4% 3.2% 3.5% 2.6% 3.8% 4.0% 4.5% 4.9% 6.0% 7.3% 7.2% 8.2% 10.8% 12.9% 13.8% 5.1%
Jack Egan 16.1% 13.5% 13.6% 11.8% 9.8% 9.1% 8.0% 6.3% 4.9% 2.5% 1.9% 1.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Kerem Erkmen 16.5% 14.3% 13.3% 11.9% 10.6% 8.1% 8.8% 6.2% 3.8% 3.0% 1.8% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Christopher Sharpless 6.0% 4.8% 5.2% 6.6% 7.9% 7.2% 8.0% 7.9% 8.8% 7.3% 8.6% 6.7% 6.2% 5.2% 2.6% 0.9%
Ansgar Jordan 5.2% 6.7% 6.6% 7.0% 6.7% 6.8% 7.5% 8.1% 8.0% 8.0% 8.4% 5.9% 7.7% 4.7% 2.2% 0.6%
Scott Harris 4.5% 5.5% 6.5% 6.2% 7.1% 7.6% 7.3% 8.2% 7.5% 6.7% 7.5% 8.5% 6.7% 6.0% 3.4% 0.9%
Thomas Hall 11.8% 11.5% 9.3% 9.6% 9.4% 10.7% 8.5% 7.4% 6.1% 5.1% 4.5% 3.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Hunter Zonnenberg 6.0% 6.6% 6.4% 7.2% 7.7% 7.8% 7.0% 8.2% 8.0% 8.0% 7.3% 7.4% 5.8% 4.2% 1.9% 0.5%
Taylor Eastman 4.8% 4.8% 6.6% 6.1% 5.5% 6.5% 6.7% 6.8% 7.9% 8.6% 8.5% 8.2% 7.5% 6.2% 4.5% 1.0%
Garrett Cook 1.0% 1.8% 1.3% 2.1% 1.2% 2.0% 2.8% 3.2% 2.5% 3.9% 5.4% 7.1% 8.1% 13.9% 26.7% 17.0%
Lars Osell 3.8% 3.9% 3.8% 4.1% 4.5% 4.5% 5.0% 5.0% 6.3% 8.1% 8.3% 9.7% 11.7% 10.1% 9.0% 2.4%
Andreas Keswater 2.5% 3.1% 3.1% 3.4% 3.1% 3.6% 4.5% 5.1% 5.5% 6.1% 6.9% 8.6% 11.8% 13.7% 13.0% 6.0%
Gunnar Pierson 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 1.0% 0.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.9% 1.7% 1.7% 2.1% 2.5% 3.5% 7.0% 12.6% 63.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.