← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii3.04+2.55vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.80+0.30vs Predicted
-
3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39+4.11vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara2.95-0.22vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Irvine1.35+2.02vs Predicted
-
6Santa Clara University1.42+0.92vs Predicted
-
7California State University Monterey Bay0.61+1.34vs Predicted
-
8University of Southern California2.47-3.54vs Predicted
-
9University of California at San Diego1.60-2.47vs Predicted
-
10California State University Monterey Bay0.61-1.66vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Berkeley1.48-4.40vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.55University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
-
2.3Stanford University3.800.4%1st Place
-
7.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
-
3.78University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
-
7.02University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
-
6.92Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
-
8.34California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
-
4.46University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
-
6.53University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
-
8.34California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
-
6.6University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
-
9.39University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Kennedy | 16.4% | 18.6% | 18.0% | 16.0% | 15.0% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hans Henken | 38.4% | 24.7% | 17.9% | 10.6% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kiersten McDonald | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 14.6% | 17.0% | 16.5% | 18.1% | 14.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 16.8% | 21.0% | 22.1% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 9.6% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 16.8% | 21.0% | 22.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hiew | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 18.0% | 47.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.