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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+2.59vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.04+1.37vs Predicted
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3California State University Monterey Bay0.61+5.39vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.70-1.53vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.48+1.47vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine1.35+0.82vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University1.42-0.53vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.61+0.39vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-2.41vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-2.20vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California2.47-6.68vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.33-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.2%1st Place
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3.37University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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8.39California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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2.47Stanford University3.700.3%1st Place
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6.47University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
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6.82University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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6.47Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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8.39California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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6.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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7.8University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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4.32University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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9.69University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Long | 15.3% | 17.6% | 18.4% | 18.1% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 19.3% | 19.0% | 18.8% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 16.3% | 23.5% | 19.6% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Screve | 33.5% | 26.0% | 18.9% | 10.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hiew | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 11.1% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 16.3% | 23.5% | 19.6% | 0.0% |
| Kiersten McDonald | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 19.8% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 11.9% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keefe | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 18.3% | 53.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.