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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.95+6.56vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.26+7.91vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.24+7.44vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.72+5.03vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.78+2.74vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.19+4.13vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.48+5.86vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.95-0.68vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.42-3.36vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49+3.12vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.06-4.11vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.05-1.16vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.94-5.62vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.12-6.98vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.71-10.48vs Predicted
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16Washington College0.35-2.59vs Predicted
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17Clemson University1.22-6.76vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.39-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.56Dartmouth College1.956.9%1st Place
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9.91University of Rhode Island1.264.2%1st Place
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10.44Northeastern University1.243.2%1st Place
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9.03Brown University1.724.2%1st Place
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7.74North Carolina State University1.786.9%1st Place
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10.13University of South Florida1.193.8%1st Place
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12.86Boston University0.481.5%1st Place
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7.32Connecticut College1.956.8%1st Place
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5.64University of Pennsylvania2.4212.6%1st Place
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13.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.491.6%1st Place
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6.89Bowdoin College2.068.6%1st Place
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10.84University of Vermont1.052.7%1st Place
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7.38Roger Williams University1.947.5%1st Place
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7.02Tufts University2.127.9%1st Place
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4.52Yale University2.7116.6%1st Place
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13.41Washington College0.351.5%1st Place
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10.24Clemson University1.223.5%1st Place
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16.97Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.390.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Hurwitz | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Champney | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Jed Bell | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Adam Larson | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Humberto Porrata | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 1.0% |
| William Wiegand | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 14.9% | 17.6% | 5.9% |
| Walter Henry | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Bruce | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Brown | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 20.6% | 6.5% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 1.5% |
| Mathieu Dale | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 16.6% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camden Ward | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 21.4% | 8.9% |
| William Turner | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Brandon Foster | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 10.6% | 72.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.