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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.70+1.37vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.04+1.35vs Predicted
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3California State University Monterey Bay0.61+5.35vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.47+0.57vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.95-1.47vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay0.61+2.35vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine1.35-0.13vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-0.33vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.48-2.66vs Predicted
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10Santa Clara University1.42-3.31vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-4.40vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.33-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Stanford University3.700.4%1st Place
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3.35University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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8.35California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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4.57University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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3.53University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.2%1st Place
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8.35California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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6.87University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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7.67University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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6.34University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
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6.69Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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6.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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9.66University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Screve | 35.6% | 26.1% | 17.4% | 12.2% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 17.4% | 20.9% | 20.1% | 15.8% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 24.0% | 19.1% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 9.4% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 17.8% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 17.3% | 17.6% | 20.1% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 24.0% | 19.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 17.9% | 16.7% | 11.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hiew | 4.3% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Kiersten McDonald | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 9.5% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keefe | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 16.8% | 54.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.