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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.26+9.14vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.06+4.87vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.19+7.45vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.72+4.99vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.94+2.44vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.78+1.63vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.42-1.22vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.24+2.21vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.95-1.63vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.71-5.29vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.48+1.98vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.12-5.10vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.05-2.34vs Predicted
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14Clemson University1.22-3.77vs Predicted
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15Washington College0.35-1.84vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-2.92vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.39-0.07vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College1.95-10.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.14University of Rhode Island1.263.8%1st Place
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6.87Bowdoin College2.068.3%1st Place
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10.45University of South Florida1.193.5%1st Place
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8.99Brown University1.725.3%1st Place
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7.44Roger Williams University1.947.2%1st Place
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7.63North Carolina State University1.786.4%1st Place
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5.78University of Pennsylvania2.4210.5%1st Place
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10.21Northeastern University1.243.6%1st Place
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7.37Connecticut College1.957.8%1st Place
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4.71Yale University2.7116.3%1st Place
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12.98Boston University0.481.4%1st Place
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6.9Tufts University2.128.5%1st Place
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10.66University of Vermont1.053.2%1st Place
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10.23Clemson University1.223.1%1st Place
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13.16Washington College0.351.4%1st Place
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13.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.491.6%1st Place
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16.93Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.390.4%1st Place
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7.48Dartmouth College1.957.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Champney | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
| Jed Bell | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Mathieu Dale | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larson | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Bruce | 10.5% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Walter Henry | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 16.3% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Wiegand | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 17.8% | 6.8% |
| Trevor Davis | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| William Turner | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Camden Ward | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 21.8% | 7.6% |
| Aidan Brown | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 20.6% | 5.9% |
| Brandon Foster | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 9.7% | 72.6% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.