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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.72+8.11vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+2.72vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.94+4.41vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.78+3.71vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.95+2.26vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.24+4.14vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.26+3.00vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.05+2.65vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.12-2.13vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.19+0.38vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.95-3.40vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.48+0.96vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49+0.06vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.06-7.06vs Predicted
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15Washington College0.35-1.70vs Predicted
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16Clemson University1.22-5.66vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.42-11.35vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.39-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.11Brown University1.724.2%1st Place
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4.72Yale University2.7116.6%1st Place
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7.41Roger Williams University1.947.4%1st Place
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7.71North Carolina State University1.786.4%1st Place
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7.26Connecticut College1.957.8%1st Place
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10.14Northeastern University1.243.5%1st Place
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10.0University of Rhode Island1.264.1%1st Place
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10.65University of Vermont1.053.5%1st Place
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6.87Tufts University2.128.8%1st Place
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10.38University of South Florida1.193.0%1st Place
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7.6Dartmouth College1.956.5%1st Place
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12.96Boston University0.481.6%1st Place
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13.06U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.491.6%1st Place
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6.94Bowdoin College2.067.6%1st Place
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13.3Washington College0.351.6%1st Place
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10.34Clemson University1.223.8%1st Place
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5.65University of Pennsylvania2.4211.8%1st Place
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16.91Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.390.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Bell | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 16.6% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larson | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Walter Henry | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
| Zachary Champney | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 1.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| William Wiegand | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 16.8% | 6.8% |
| Aidan Brown | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 18.8% | 6.8% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Camden Ward | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 23.6% | 7.3% |
| William Turner | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Jordan Bruce | 11.8% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Foster | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 9.8% | 72.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.