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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.80+1.19vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine1.35+4.89vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+0.57vs Predicted
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4Santa Clara University1.42+2.89vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.32-0.27vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.48+0.62vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.47-2.75vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.61+0.38vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-2.11vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay0.61-1.62vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego1.60-4.76vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19Stanford University3.800.4%1st Place
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6.89University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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3.57University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.2%1st Place
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6.89Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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4.73University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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6.62University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
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4.25University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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8.38California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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6.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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8.38California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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6.24University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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9.37University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Henken | 40.1% | 26.9% | 17.2% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 15.7% | 18.9% | 20.0% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 10.0% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hiew | 3.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 12.4% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 21.0% | 24.2% | 0.0% |
| Kiersten McDonald | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 21.0% | 24.2% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 18.4% | 47.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.