Race 1A

saisa-spring-2014

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Robert Savoie 14.6% 15.4% 19.1% 17.8% 14.1% 10.6% 6.4% 1.6% 0.4%
Jake Reynolds 29.2% 28.5% 19.9% 11.2% 6.3% 3.5% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Stocke 29.9% 24.1% 20.3% 14.6% 7.4% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Benton Morton 2.6% 3.5% 5.4% 6.8% 11.1% 12.1% 17.5% 20.3% 20.7%
John Reddaway 3.7% 4.7% 7.0% 10.2% 12.1% 14.2% 16.9% 17.2% 14.0%
Daniel Lawless 8.7% 12.4% 13.9% 17.9% 17.0% 14.6% 9.6% 4.4% 1.5%
Blake Pierce 2.3% 2.5% 2.9% 4.9% 5.9% 11.0% 13.7% 22.0% 34.8%
Edwin Strong 5.1% 5.2% 6.9% 10.8% 14.9% 16.3% 16.8% 14.1% 9.9%
Cole Barney 3.9% 3.7% 4.6% 5.8% 11.2% 15.1% 16.9% 20.2% 18.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.