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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.12+6.15vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.72+7.06vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.94+4.57vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.95+3.30vs Predicted
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5Clemson University1.22+5.14vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.24+4.22vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.95+0.60vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.71-3.31vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.78-1.38vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.06-3.09vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.42-5.27vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.19-1.65vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.05-2.45vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.48-1.15vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.26-4.93vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-3.10vs Predicted
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17Washington College0.35-3.70vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.39-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.15Tufts University2.127.6%1st Place
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9.06Brown University1.724.6%1st Place
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7.57Roger Williams University1.946.8%1st Place
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7.3Connecticut College1.957.8%1st Place
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10.14Clemson University1.223.6%1st Place
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10.22Northeastern University1.243.6%1st Place
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7.6Dartmouth College1.956.5%1st Place
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4.69Yale University2.7116.1%1st Place
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7.62North Carolina State University1.787.4%1st Place
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6.91Bowdoin College2.068.3%1st Place
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5.73University of Pennsylvania2.4212.3%1st Place
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10.35University of South Florida1.193.5%1st Place
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10.55University of Vermont1.052.9%1st Place
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12.85Boston University0.481.7%1st Place
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10.07University of Rhode Island1.263.9%1st Place
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12.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.491.5%1st Place
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13.3Washington College0.351.8%1st Place
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16.97Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Davis | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jed Bell | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Walter Henry | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| William Turner | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 16.1% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Bruce | 12.3% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 1.6% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| William Wiegand | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 17.9% | 6.7% |
| Zachary Champney | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Aidan Brown | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 19.1% | 6.1% |
| Camden Ward | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 21.4% | 7.2% |
| Brandon Foster | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 10.4% | 72.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.