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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.71+3.56vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.24+8.23vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.05+7.81vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.95+3.54vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.95+2.27vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.12+1.12vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.72+1.80vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.06-1.02vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.26+0.92vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.19+0.33vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.42-5.13vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.94-4.43vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.78-5.55vs Predicted
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14Clemson University1.22-3.64vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-2.06vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.48-2.87vs Predicted
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17Washington College0.35-3.75vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.39-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56Yale University2.7117.3%1st Place
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10.23Northeastern University1.243.8%1st Place
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10.81University of Vermont1.053.5%1st Place
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7.54Dartmouth College1.957.5%1st Place
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7.27Connecticut College1.958.4%1st Place
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7.12Tufts University2.127.6%1st Place
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8.8Brown University1.724.9%1st Place
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6.98Bowdoin College2.067.4%1st Place
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9.92University of Rhode Island1.263.5%1st Place
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10.33University of South Florida1.194.2%1st Place
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5.87University of Pennsylvania2.4210.3%1st Place
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7.57Roger Williams University1.946.7%1st Place
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7.45North Carolina State University1.787.9%1st Place
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10.36Clemson University1.223.0%1st Place
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12.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.491.6%1st Place
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13.13Boston University0.480.9%1st Place
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13.25Washington College0.351.7%1st Place
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16.88Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 17.3% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 1.6% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Walter Henry | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jed Bell | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Champney | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Jordan Bruce | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larson | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| William Turner | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Aidan Brown | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 17.9% | 8.0% |
| William Wiegand | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 19.2% | 6.1% |
| Camden Ward | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 15.4% | 21.6% | 7.7% |
| Brandon Foster | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 9.9% | 72.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.