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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.49+1.58vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.65+0.52vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.78+0.69vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+2.09vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.23+0.32vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.82+0.11vs Predicted
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8Clemson University1.66-2.27vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.14-2.38vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University2.38-5.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58University of South Florida3.490.3%1st Place
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2.52College of Charleston3.650.3%1st Place
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3.69Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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6.09Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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6.32University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.230.0%1st Place
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7.11Rollins College0.820.0%1st Place
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5.73Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
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6.62North Carolina State University1.140.0%1st Place
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4.35Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Stocke | 29.4% | 25.8% | 20.2% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Reynolds | 30.1% | 27.5% | 20.2% | 11.5% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 14.1% | 16.2% | 17.8% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 10.7% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| John Reddaway | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 17.8% | 14.6% | 17.4% | 14.9% |
| Cole Barney | 2.9% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 18.0% | 18.2% | 18.7% |
| Blake Pierce | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 14.7% | 21.8% | 33.1% |
| Edwin Strong | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 19.2% | 15.1% | 8.2% |
| Benton Morton | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 16.3% | 20.4% | 23.5% |
| Daniel Lawless | 10.4% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 18.1% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.