Race 3A

saisa-spring-2014

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Christopher Stocke 28.0% 26.5% 20.2% 13.4% 7.3% 3.3% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Edwin Strong 3.2% 3.5% 6.0% 13.3% 15.7% 16.3% 16.5% 14.6% 10.9%
Robert Savoie 14.3% 14.6% 18.4% 18.5% 16.9% 10.8% 4.2% 2.0% 0.3%
Jake Reynolds 34.0% 28.4% 19.3% 10.7% 5.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Daniel Lawless 9.5% 13.3% 17.1% 16.5% 14.2% 12.4% 10.4% 4.9% 1.7%
Cole Barney 2.6% 3.2% 5.9% 7.7% 10.0% 15.0% 18.1% 19.3% 18.2%
John Reddaway 3.3% 4.9% 4.8% 8.5% 13.3% 15.8% 18.8% 18.7% 11.9%
Blake Pierce 2.2% 2.6% 3.7% 4.9% 7.4% 10.5% 13.4% 21.0% 34.3%
Benton Morton 2.9% 3.0% 4.6% 6.5% 10.2% 14.0% 16.7% 19.4% 22.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.