Race 4A

saisa-spring-2014

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Christopher Stocke 30.1% 24.1% 21.1% 11.5% 8.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Jake Reynolds 29.2% 29.5% 17.1% 12.7% 6.2% 4.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Robert Savoie 14.0% 16.3% 17.7% 19.3% 16.1% 8.7% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4%
Cole Barney 2.7% 4.0% 5.5% 8.4% 11.9% 14.7% 16.1% 18.3% 18.4%
Edwin Strong 4.9% 6.1% 10.1% 12.5% 12.4% 15.5% 13.8% 15.4% 9.3%
John Reddaway 3.7% 3.7% 6.1% 8.4% 12.0% 14.4% 20.4% 16.8% 14.5%
Benton Morton 2.7% 3.2% 4.4% 6.6% 9.8% 12.9% 18.8% 20.5% 21.1%
Daniel Lawless 10.3% 10.5% 14.8% 16.0% 16.4% 15.0% 9.2% 6.1% 1.7%
Blake Pierce 2.4% 2.6% 3.2% 4.6% 6.3% 11.3% 14.4% 20.6% 34.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.