Race 2A

riley-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lukas Edegran 7.2% 8.6% 9.5% 11.0% 13.0% 14.1% 13.1% 13.7% 6.6% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Liberty 11.5% 10.5% 14.6% 11.0% 12.8% 12.7% 11.2% 8.2% 6.5% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gary Herring 12.0% 12.6% 13.1% 14.1% 13.1% 12.4% 10.4% 7.9% 3.4% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Campbell 18.3% 15.2% 15.4% 16.9% 12.7% 8.8% 7.3% 3.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Hoffmann 11.9% 13.0% 12.3% 13.3% 12.4% 12.6% 9.5% 7.9% 5.6% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Madeline Gill 2.3% 3.3% 4.1% 4.1% 5.0% 5.8% 10.3% 13.3% 18.5% 28.7% 4.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Dillon Paiva 25.4% 23.0% 16.6% 12.2% 10.8% 5.4% 3.7% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Shoemaker 2.7% 3.9% 3.1% 4.4% 5.0% 8.8% 10.9% 13.0% 19.8% 25.7% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Jessica Thal 3.4% 3.8% 4.4% 5.2% 6.6% 7.2% 12.0% 14.2% 19.1% 19.9% 4.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Kyle Dattola-Harris 5.0% 5.9% 6.6% 7.7% 8.3% 11.9% 11.1% 14.7% 15.7% 12.1% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gary Herring 12.0% 12.6% 13.1% 14.1% 13.1% 12.4% 10.4% 7.9% 3.4% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Wakeen 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 1.6% 2.8% 6.4% 87.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Madeline Gill 2.3% 3.3% 4.1% 4.1% 5.0% 5.8% 10.3% 13.3% 18.5% 28.7% 4.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.