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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.49+1.63vs Predicted
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2Clemson University1.66+3.96vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+3.27vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.78-0.36vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.65-2.59vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.14+0.65vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.23-1.42vs Predicted
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9Rollins College1.27-2.53vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University2.38-5.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63University of South Florida3.490.3%1st Place
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5.96Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
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6.27Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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3.64Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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2.41College of Charleston3.650.4%1st Place
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6.65North Carolina State University1.140.0%1st Place
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6.58University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.230.0%1st Place
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6.47Rollins College1.270.0%1st Place
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4.39Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Stocke | 27.3% | 26.4% | 21.0% | 13.4% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 2.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 12.5% |
| John Reddaway | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 18.3% | 17.8% |
| Robert Savoie | 13.8% | 16.8% | 19.4% | 19.6% | 14.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Jake Reynolds | 35.8% | 24.5% | 18.5% | 11.6% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Benton Morton | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 18.4% | 20.6% | 23.1% |
| Cole Barney | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 18.3% | 18.5% | 22.3% |
| Ian Nora | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 19.3% | 21.8% |
| Daniel Lawless | 8.6% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.