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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.72+7.78vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.95+5.56vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.71+1.69vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.94+3.75vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.95+2.42vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.06+0.89vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.26+2.94vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.05+2.61vs Predicted
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9Washington College0.35+4.40vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.78-2.51vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.19-0.56vs Predicted
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12Clemson University1.22-1.88vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.42-7.14vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.12-6.89vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.24-4.92vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.48-3.06vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-3.92vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.39-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.78Brown University1.724.3%1st Place
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7.56Dartmouth College1.957.1%1st Place
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4.69Yale University2.7116.5%1st Place
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7.75Roger Williams University1.946.5%1st Place
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7.42Connecticut College1.957.0%1st Place
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6.89Bowdoin College2.068.6%1st Place
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9.94University of Rhode Island1.263.8%1st Place
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10.61University of Vermont1.052.9%1st Place
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13.4Washington College0.351.4%1st Place
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7.49North Carolina State University1.787.6%1st Place
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10.44University of South Florida1.193.2%1st Place
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10.12Clemson University1.223.5%1st Place
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5.86University of Pennsylvania2.4211.2%1st Place
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7.11Tufts University2.128.5%1st Place
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10.08Northeastern University1.243.9%1st Place
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12.94Boston University0.482.1%1st Place
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13.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.491.6%1st Place
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16.87Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.390.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Bell | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 16.5% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Walter Henry | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Champney | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 1.7% |
| Camden Ward | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 20.6% | 8.0% |
| Adam Larson | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 1.3% |
| William Turner | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Jordan Bruce | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| William Wiegand | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 19.0% | 5.7% |
| Aidan Brown | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 19.8% | 6.7% |
| Brandon Foster | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 9.2% | 73.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.