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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.49+1.60vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.65+0.51vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.23+3.50vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.78-0.35vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+0.98vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.14-0.43vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.82-0.86vs Predicted
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9Clemson University1.66-3.29vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University2.38-5.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6University of South Florida3.490.3%1st Place
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2.51College of Charleston3.650.3%1st Place
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6.5University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.230.0%1st Place
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3.65Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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5.98Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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6.57North Carolina State University1.140.0%1st Place
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7.14Rollins College0.820.0%1st Place
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5.71Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
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4.36Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Stocke | 30.3% | 24.7% | 18.2% | 14.4% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jake Reynolds | 30.2% | 27.7% | 19.4% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cole Barney | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 17.4% | 18.3% | 20.9% |
| Robert Savoie | 14.1% | 17.6% | 18.4% | 18.4% | 14.3% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| John Reddaway | 3.0% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 17.4% | 13.9% |
| Benton Morton | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 17.2% | 22.3% | 20.0% |
| Blake Pierce | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 20.4% | 34.3% |
| Edwin Strong | 4.9% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 17.1% | 17.9% | 13.5% | 9.3% |
| Daniel Lawless | 9.6% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 17.9% | 17.9% | 14.2% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.