Race 8A

saisa-spring-2014

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Jake Reynolds 33.8% 28.0% 18.1% 11.0% 6.0% 2.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Robert Savoie 11.8% 13.9% 20.6% 19.9% 13.8% 11.3% 5.0% 3.1% 0.6%
Daniel Lawless 8.6% 12.1% 13.9% 16.3% 18.8% 14.2% 9.7% 5.0% 1.4%
Christopher Stocke 30.2% 26.0% 20.5% 12.6% 7.0% 2.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
Benton Morton 2.3% 3.6% 5.6% 8.9% 10.9% 12.5% 15.3% 19.5% 21.4%
Edwin Strong 4.8% 5.1% 8.0% 11.2% 13.1% 17.8% 18.1% 12.9% 9.0%
John Reddaway 3.4% 4.9% 4.9% 7.4% 13.3% 15.0% 19.5% 18.0% 13.6%
Blake Pierce 2.0% 2.6% 2.9% 6.4% 5.9% 11.1% 13.4% 21.2% 34.5%
Cole Barney 3.1% 3.8% 5.5% 6.3% 11.2% 13.4% 17.4% 19.9% 19.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.