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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.95+6.46vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.12+4.84vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.95+4.14vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.78+3.32vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.26+4.77vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.72+2.79vs Predicted
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7Clemson University1.22+2.80vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.06-1.07vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.71-4.49vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.190.00vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.42-5.40vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.35+0.81vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.94-5.80vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.05-3.57vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.24-4.95vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-3.66vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.39-0.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.46Dartmouth College1.957.4%1st Place
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6.84Tufts University2.129.2%1st Place
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7.14Connecticut College1.956.7%1st Place
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7.32North Carolina State University1.786.8%1st Place
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9.77University of Rhode Island1.264.2%1st Place
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8.79Brown University1.725.4%1st Place
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9.8Clemson University1.223.4%1st Place
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6.93Bowdoin College2.068.0%1st Place
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4.51Yale University2.7116.8%1st Place
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10.0University of South Florida1.193.4%1st Place
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5.6University of Pennsylvania2.4210.9%1st Place
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12.81Washington College0.351.3%1st Place
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7.2Roger Williams University1.948.0%1st Place
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10.43University of Vermont1.053.3%1st Place
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10.05Northeastern University1.243.5%1st Place
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12.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.491.5%1st Place
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16.01Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.390.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Hurwitz | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Walter Henry | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larson | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Champney | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 0.9% |
| Jed Bell | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| William Turner | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 16.8% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 1.6% |
| Jordan Bruce | 10.9% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Camden Ward | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 24.9% | 8.8% |
| Mathieu Dale | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 2.2% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 1.0% |
| Aidan Brown | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 21.7% | 8.0% |
| Brandon Foster | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 9.4% | 74.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.