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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Ryan Davidson 38.2% 27.0% 16.4% 11.2% 5.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Maria Ayala 1.6% 1.4% 2.4% 4.5% 8.2% 14.1% 28.8% 23.6% 15.4%
Benjamin Mohney 21.1% 22.1% 22.2% 16.2% 11.8% 5.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Ian Ikeda 12.7% 14.9% 18.8% 19.5% 17.6% 12.1% 3.5% 0.6% 0.3%
John Roberts 6.4% 9.0% 12.0% 14.0% 18.9% 18.5% 14.1% 6.1% 1.0%
Jason D'Agostino 14.2% 19.1% 20.3% 20.4% 14.2% 9.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0%
David Rogers 3.8% 4.3% 5.2% 9.2% 15.3% 25.6% 22.0% 11.6% 3.0%
Jeffrey Pyles 1.0% 1.0% 1.3% 3.3% 4.3% 6.8% 15.0% 29.4% 37.9%
Eric McKissick 1.0% 1.2% 1.4% 1.7% 4.2% 7.1% 13.1% 28.0% 42.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.