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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.21+5.70vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.08+4.78vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.16+4.36vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.72+6.77vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.29+0.93vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.37+2.48vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.31+2.43vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.24+0.63vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.37+2.76vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.48-1.62vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.81-3.42vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.13+0.56vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.44-4.70vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University1.97-7.97vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.18-6.39vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara-0.40-1.75vs Predicted
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17University of Miami0.48-5.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.7Tulane University2.2110.1%1st Place
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6.78Harvard University2.089.1%1st Place
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7.36U. S. Naval Academy2.167.8%1st Place
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10.77University of Wisconsin0.723.1%1st Place
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5.93Brown University2.2911.3%1st Place
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8.48Georgetown University1.374.9%1st Place
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9.43University of Vermont1.314.0%1st Place
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8.63George Washington University1.246.3%1st Place
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11.76Boston University0.371.8%1st Place
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8.38Bowdoin College1.486.8%1st Place
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7.58Tufts University1.816.8%1st Place
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12.56SUNY Maritime College0.131.6%1st Place
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8.3Old Dominion University1.446.9%1st Place
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6.03Jacksonville University1.9710.7%1st Place
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8.61Northeastern University1.186.0%1st Place
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14.25University of California at Santa Barbara-0.400.4%1st Place
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11.46University of Miami0.482.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Emma Kaneti | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Ella Reinemann | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 6.2% |
| Olivia Belda | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Riley Kloc | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Grace Gear | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 12.3% |
| Ellie Maus | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Talia Toland | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 16.1% | 19.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Charlotte Rose | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Katelon Egan | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 15.2% | 42.4% |
| Ashley Delisser | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.