← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Rollins College0.70+5.68vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida3.15+1.08vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College2.80+0.44vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston3.73-1.86vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University2.54-1.29vs Predicted
-
6Clemson University1.88-1.15vs Predicted
-
7North Carolina State University1.38-1.31vs Predicted
-
9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.08-1.34vs Predicted
-
10Georgia Institute of Technology-0.14-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.68Rollins College0.700.0%1st Place
-
3.08University of South Florida3.150.2%1st Place
-
3.44Eckerd College2.800.2%1st Place
-
2.14College of Charleston3.730.4%1st Place
-
3.71Jacksonville University2.540.1%1st Place
-
4.85Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
-
5.69North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
-
7.66University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.080.0%1st Place
-
7.76Georgia Institute of Technology-0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria Ayala | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 26.7% | 25.5% | 13.0% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 16.9% | 23.9% | 21.6% | 19.5% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 16.0% | 15.3% | 21.3% | 20.0% | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Davidson | 41.4% | 25.9% | 17.4% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Ikeda | 12.1% | 17.5% | 18.1% | 16.5% | 18.0% | 12.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| John Roberts | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 21.0% | 21.6% | 13.9% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| David Rogers | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 16.1% | 23.3% | 23.0% | 11.3% | 3.4% |
| Jeffrey Pyles | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 14.3% | 29.5% | 38.9% |
| Eric McKissick | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 7.2% | 12.6% | 27.4% | 43.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.