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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+7.40vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.61+2.87vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College3.83+4.73vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.80+7.58vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.50+3.82vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.79+2.01vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.68+1.29vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-0.33vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.67-0.46vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.54-1.33vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.50-1.86vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University4.51-6.66vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.93-1.72vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.50-4.84vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.92-7.63vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan2.35-2.87vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.60-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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4.87College of Charleston4.610.2%1st Place
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7.73Eckerd College3.830.1%1st Place
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11.58University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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8.82Yale University3.500.0%1st Place
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8.01Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.29Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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7.67St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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8.54Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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8.67Old Dominion University3.540.0%1st Place
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9.14Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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5.34Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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11.28University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Naval Academy3.500.0%1st Place
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7.37University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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13.13University of Michigan2.350.0%1st Place
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14.99Cornell University1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Patten | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Allison Blecher | 15.6% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cara Vavolotis | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 7.9% |
| Claire Dennis | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Maggie Shea | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Megan Magill | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Katrina Williams | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Emily Maxwell | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Sydney Bolger | 13.2% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 8.4% |
| Christina Pryne | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Amy Hawkins | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Christina Baker | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 21.9% | 18.2% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 14.5% | 53.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.