Race 3A

riley-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ian Liberty 9.5% 10.6% 12.5% 14.5% 13.0% 12.4% 13.3% 7.2% 4.9% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Hoffmann 12.3% 11.4% 13.8% 12.7% 13.1% 11.8% 10.2% 7.9% 5.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Campbell 16.4% 17.5% 16.1% 14.8% 11.7% 10.8% 7.0% 4.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gary Herring 12.2% 12.1% 14.2% 13.1% 14.4% 12.0% 10.2% 7.0% 2.7% 2.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Lukas Edegran 9.2% 10.2% 9.3% 11.4% 11.0% 12.4% 12.3% 10.9% 9.5% 3.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Dillon Paiva 23.7% 21.5% 18.3% 11.8% 8.6% 7.7% 4.6% 2.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Madeline Gill 3.6% 4.0% 2.9% 4.4% 6.5% 6.0% 10.6% 13.9% 18.2% 26.4% 3.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Shoemaker 3.1% 3.2% 3.0% 4.5% 6.5% 7.8% 9.2% 14.2% 18.5% 27.3% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Jessica Thal 3.8% 4.2% 3.6% 4.3% 7.6% 7.5% 9.7% 17.0% 18.4% 20.0% 3.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Kyle Dattola-Harris 5.7% 5.3% 6.1% 8.3% 7.3% 11.2% 12.6% 14.0% 16.7% 11.7% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Gary Herring 12.2% 12.1% 14.2% 13.1% 14.4% 12.0% 10.2% 7.0% 2.7% 2.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Wakeen 0.5% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 1.8% 2.8% 5.2% 88.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Madeline Gill 3.6% 4.0% 2.9% 4.4% 6.5% 6.0% 10.6% 13.9% 18.2% 26.4% 3.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.