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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.29+5.05vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.21+4.74vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.97+3.07vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.16+3.51vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.44+3.24vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.48+2.43vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.24+1.51vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.18+0.60vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.08-2.26vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.81-2.31vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.31-1.69vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.13+0.66vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University1.37-4.57vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.37-2.12vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.72-4.51vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara-0.40-1.78vs Predicted
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17University of Miami0.48-5.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.05Brown University2.2910.8%1st Place
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6.74Tulane University2.218.7%1st Place
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6.07Jacksonville University1.9711.2%1st Place
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7.51U. S. Naval Academy2.167.0%1st Place
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8.24Old Dominion University1.445.5%1st Place
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8.43Bowdoin College1.486.3%1st Place
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8.51George Washington University1.245.8%1st Place
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8.6Northeastern University1.184.7%1st Place
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6.74Harvard University2.089.9%1st Place
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7.69Tufts University1.816.8%1st Place
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9.31University of Vermont1.315.2%1st Place
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12.66SUNY Maritime College0.132.2%1st Place
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8.43Georgetown University1.376.0%1st Place
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11.88Boston University0.372.2%1st Place
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10.49University of Wisconsin0.723.7%1st Place
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14.22University of California at Santa Barbara-0.400.9%1st Place
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11.42University of Miami0.483.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Belda | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Rose | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Bridget Groble | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Emma Kaneti | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Talia Toland | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Grace Gear | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Clara Guarascio | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 18.1% | 18.4% |
| Riley Kloc | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 11.3% |
| Ella Reinemann | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 6.3% |
| Katelon Egan | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 44.3% |
| Ashley Delisser | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.