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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.24+7.45vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.21+4.64vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.08+3.71vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.16+3.52vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.29+1.13vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.31+3.20vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.97-1.09vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College0.13+4.65vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.44-0.74vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University1.37-1.46vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.81-3.47vs Predicted
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12University of Miami0.48-0.39vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.48-4.58vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.72-3.29vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.18-6.56vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.37-4.06vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara-0.40-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.45George Washington University1.245.9%1st Place
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6.64Tulane University2.218.9%1st Place
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6.71Harvard University2.089.4%1st Place
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7.52U. S. Naval Academy2.167.5%1st Place
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6.13Brown University2.299.6%1st Place
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9.2University of Vermont1.314.7%1st Place
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5.91Jacksonville University1.9711.8%1st Place
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12.65SUNY Maritime College0.131.4%1st Place
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8.26Old Dominion University1.446.9%1st Place
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8.54Georgetown University1.375.9%1st Place
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7.53Tufts University1.817.8%1st Place
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11.61University of Miami0.482.4%1st Place
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8.42Bowdoin College1.485.8%1st Place
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10.71University of Wisconsin0.723.1%1st Place
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8.44Northeastern University1.185.6%1st Place
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11.94Boston University0.372.3%1st Place
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14.34University of California at Santa Barbara-0.401.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Emma Kaneti | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Belda | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Grace Gear | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Charlotte Rose | 11.8% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 16.8% | 18.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Talia Toland | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Ashley Delisser | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 10.4% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Ella Reinemann | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 6.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 12.6% |
| Katelon Egan | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 42.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.