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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.54+2.87vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.73+0.32vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.15-0.05vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology0.30+3.28vs Predicted
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5Clemson University1.88-0.15vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.80-2.56vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.70-0.19vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.08-0.22vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.38-4.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87Jacksonville University2.540.1%1st Place
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2.32College of Charleston3.730.3%1st Place
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2.95University of South Florida3.150.2%1st Place
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7.28Georgia Institute of Technology0.300.0%1st Place
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4.85Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
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3.44Eckerd College2.800.2%1st Place
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6.81Rollins College0.700.0%1st Place
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7.78University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.080.0%1st Place
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5.71North Carolina State University1.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Ikeda | 12.4% | 12.3% | 18.3% | 20.0% | 17.1% | 11.7% | 6.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Davidson | 34.4% | 28.5% | 18.4% | 11.2% | 5.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 21.8% | 23.6% | 19.1% | 17.4% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Kim | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 17.5% | 28.3% | 28.9% |
| John Roberts | 6.7% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 18.7% | 19.2% | 13.7% | 6.5% | 1.8% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 15.2% | 17.7% | 20.3% | 19.4% | 14.7% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Maria Ayala | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 7.5% | 14.5% | 22.5% | 28.1% | 15.8% |
| Jeffrey Pyles | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 22.7% | 47.6% |
| David Rogers | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 15.5% | 21.8% | 22.1% | 12.0% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.