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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.21+5.83vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.08+5.01vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College0.13+9.56vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.97+2.10vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.48+6.29vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.29+0.07vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.48+1.28vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.37+0.44vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.44-0.76vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.16-2.59vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.81-3.29vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.24-3.65vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.37-0.99vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.18-5.62vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.31-5.79vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.72-5.14vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara-0.40-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.83Tulane University2.219.3%1st Place
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7.01Harvard University2.088.1%1st Place
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12.56SUNY Maritime College0.131.6%1st Place
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6.1Jacksonville University1.9711.8%1st Place
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11.29University of Miami0.483.0%1st Place
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6.07Brown University2.2910.7%1st Place
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8.28Bowdoin College1.486.5%1st Place
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8.44Georgetown University1.376.1%1st Place
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8.24Old Dominion University1.446.5%1st Place
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7.41U. S. Naval Academy2.166.9%1st Place
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7.71Tufts University1.817.0%1st Place
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8.35George Washington University1.246.4%1st Place
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12.01Boston University0.372.4%1st Place
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8.38Northeastern University1.186.7%1st Place
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9.21University of Vermont1.314.0%1st Place
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10.86University of Wisconsin0.722.2%1st Place
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14.26University of California at Santa Barbara-0.400.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 18.3% |
| Charlotte Rose | 11.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Delisser | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 10.6% |
| Olivia Belda | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ellie Maus | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Riley Kloc | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Bridget Groble | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Talia Toland | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 12.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Grace Gear | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Ella Reinemann | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 6.8% |
| Katelon Egan | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 17.2% | 41.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.