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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University1.52+1.56vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.48+0.60vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.25-1.14vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon0.76-0.69vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound-1.01-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56Oregon State University1.520.2%1st Place
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2.6Western Washington University1.480.2%1st Place
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1.86University of Washington2.250.5%1st Place
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3.31University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
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4.68University of Puget Sound-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Hickman | 21.9% | 27.5% | 26.9% | 19.9% | 3.8% |
| Taylor Martin | 20.5% | 27.1% | 27.5% | 21.9% | 3.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 46.6% | 29.0% | 17.1% | 6.7% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 9.8% | 14.1% | 23.1% | 41.8% | 11.2% |
| William Service | 1.2% | 2.3% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 81.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.