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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.08+5.95vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.48+6.35vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.37+5.51vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.31+5.33vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.16+2.40vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.21+0.81vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.97-0.97vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.44+0.22vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin0.72+1.67vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.18-1.44vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.24-2.51vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.37-0.12vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.29-7.17vs Predicted
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14University of Miami0.48-2.61vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.81-7.34vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.13-3.26vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara-0.40-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.95Harvard University2.088.8%1st Place
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8.35Bowdoin College1.485.5%1st Place
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8.51Georgetown University1.375.6%1st Place
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9.33University of Vermont1.314.2%1st Place
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7.4U. S. Naval Academy2.167.8%1st Place
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6.81Tulane University2.218.2%1st Place
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6.03Jacksonville University1.9710.4%1st Place
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8.22Old Dominion University1.446.6%1st Place
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10.67University of Wisconsin0.723.4%1st Place
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8.56Northeastern University1.186.5%1st Place
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8.49George Washington University1.246.1%1st Place
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11.88Boston University0.373.0%1st Place
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5.83Brown University2.2911.6%1st Place
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11.39University of Miami0.482.4%1st Place
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7.66Tufts University1.817.5%1st Place
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12.74SUNY Maritime College0.131.7%1st Place
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14.17University of California at Santa Barbara-0.400.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Grace Gear | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte Rose | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Ella Reinemann | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 5.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 13.7% |
| Olivia Belda | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Delisser | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 8.8% |
| Talia Toland | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 17.2% | 20.7% |
| Katelon Egan | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 17.0% | 40.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.