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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.16+6.49vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.08+4.72vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.31+6.33vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.29+1.92vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.97+0.99vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.37+2.53vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.21-0.25vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.24+0.41vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.44-0.74vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.18-1.48vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.48-2.42vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.13+0.51vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.81-5.28vs Predicted
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14University of Miami0.48-2.37vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.37-3.02vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.72-5.56vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara-0.40-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.49U. S. Naval Academy2.167.2%1st Place
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6.72Harvard University2.089.3%1st Place
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9.33University of Vermont1.315.2%1st Place
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5.92Brown University2.2911.4%1st Place
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5.99Jacksonville University1.9710.5%1st Place
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8.53Georgetown University1.375.5%1st Place
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6.75Tulane University2.219.8%1st Place
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8.41George Washington University1.245.7%1st Place
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8.26Old Dominion University1.446.3%1st Place
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8.52Northeastern University1.185.9%1st Place
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8.58Bowdoin College1.485.2%1st Place
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12.51SUNY Maritime College0.131.8%1st Place
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7.72Tufts University1.816.4%1st Place
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11.63University of Miami0.482.2%1st Place
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11.98Boston University0.372.4%1st Place
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10.44University of Wisconsin0.724.0%1st Place
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14.22University of California at Santa Barbara-0.401.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Emma Kaneti | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Grace Gear | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| Olivia Belda | 11.4% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Rose | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 17.6% | 17.2% |
| Talia Toland | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Ashley Delisser | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 9.8% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 13.4% |
| Ella Reinemann | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 5.9% |
| Katelon Egan | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 43.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.