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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.29+5.05vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.08+4.84vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.16+4.57vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.37+7.86vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.81+2.61vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.13+6.72vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.37+1.32vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.21-1.34vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.31+0.24vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.24-1.43vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.48-2.45vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.44-3.70vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.72-2.42vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University1.97-7.88vs Predicted
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15University of Miami0.48-3.66vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.18-7.38vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara-0.40-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.05Brown University2.2910.8%1st Place
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6.84Harvard University2.089.2%1st Place
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7.57U. S. Naval Academy2.167.4%1st Place
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11.86Boston University0.372.0%1st Place
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7.61Tufts University1.817.2%1st Place
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12.72SUNY Maritime College0.132.1%1st Place
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8.32Georgetown University1.376.2%1st Place
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6.66Tulane University2.2110.1%1st Place
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9.24University of Vermont1.314.8%1st Place
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8.57George Washington University1.245.1%1st Place
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8.55Bowdoin College1.485.2%1st Place
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8.3Old Dominion University1.445.5%1st Place
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10.58University of Wisconsin0.723.6%1st Place
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6.12Jacksonville University1.9710.8%1st Place
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11.34University of Miami0.483.4%1st Place
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8.62Northeastern University1.185.1%1st Place
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14.06University of California at Santa Barbara-0.401.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Belda | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Emma Kaneti | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 12.0% |
| Talia Toland | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Clara Guarascio | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 18.4% | 19.5% |
| Riley Kloc | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 10.1% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Grace Gear | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Ella Reinemann | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 5.5% |
| Charlotte Rose | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Delisser | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 9.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Katelon Egan | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 15.3% | 42.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.