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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University1.52+1.59vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.25-0.16vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.48-0.41vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon0.76-0.67vs Predicted
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5University of Puget Sound-1.01-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59Oregon State University1.520.2%1st Place
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1.84University of Washington2.250.5%1st Place
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2.59Western Washington University1.480.2%1st Place
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3.33University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
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4.66University of Puget Sound-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Hickman | 21.6% | 26.3% | 27.7% | 20.7% | 3.7% |
| Kris Thompson | 46.4% | 30.3% | 17.2% | 5.5% | 0.6% |
| Taylor Martin | 22.0% | 26.1% | 26.5% | 21.9% | 3.5% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 8.6% | 14.6% | 23.3% | 42.4% | 11.1% |
| William Service | 1.4% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 9.5% | 81.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.