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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.21+5.65vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.97+4.22vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.31+6.21vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.37+4.43vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.16+2.48vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.29+0.08vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.48+1.35vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.08-1.01vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.44-0.79vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.81-2.28vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.18-2.46vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.24-3.55vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.13-0.40vs Predicted
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14University of Miami0.48-2.55vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.72-4.46vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.37-3.98vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara-0.40-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65Tulane University2.219.4%1st Place
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6.22Jacksonville University1.9711.2%1st Place
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9.21University of Vermont1.314.7%1st Place
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8.43Georgetown University1.375.9%1st Place
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7.48U. S. Naval Academy2.167.3%1st Place
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6.08Brown University2.2911.5%1st Place
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8.35Bowdoin College1.485.8%1st Place
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6.99Harvard University2.087.8%1st Place
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8.21Old Dominion University1.446.7%1st Place
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7.72Tufts University1.816.3%1st Place
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8.54Northeastern University1.186.3%1st Place
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8.45George Washington University1.245.8%1st Place
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12.6SUNY Maritime College0.131.9%1st Place
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11.45University of Miami0.482.5%1st Place
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10.54University of Wisconsin0.723.5%1st Place
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12.02Boston University0.372.4%1st Place
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14.07University of California at Santa Barbara-0.401.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Rose | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Grace Gear | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Belda | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Bridget Groble | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Talia Toland | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 16.7% | 19.5% |
| Ashley Delisser | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 9.7% |
| Ella Reinemann | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 6.6% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 14.5% |
| Katelon Egan | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 17.1% | 39.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.