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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.29+5.14vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.21+4.76vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.37+5.40vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.97+2.04vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.48+3.34vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.44+2.41vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.18+1.56vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.81-0.34vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.31+0.29vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.16-2.71vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.37+1.01vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.13+0.59vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.72-2.07vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.24-5.68vs Predicted
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15University of Miami0.48-3.56vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara-0.40-1.89vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.08-10.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14Brown University2.2910.8%1st Place
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6.76Tulane University2.2110.0%1st Place
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8.4Georgetown University1.376.7%1st Place
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6.04Jacksonville University1.9710.5%1st Place
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8.34Bowdoin College1.486.0%1st Place
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8.41Old Dominion University1.445.1%1st Place
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8.56Northeastern University1.185.3%1st Place
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7.66Tufts University1.816.8%1st Place
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9.29University of Vermont1.315.8%1st Place
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7.29U. S. Naval Academy2.166.9%1st Place
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12.01Boston University0.371.8%1st Place
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12.59SUNY Maritime College0.131.9%1st Place
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10.93University of Wisconsin0.722.5%1st Place
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8.32George Washington University1.246.2%1st Place
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11.44University of Miami0.482.3%1st Place
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14.11University of California at Santa Barbara-0.401.2%1st Place
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6.69Harvard University2.0810.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Belda | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Riley Kloc | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Charlotte Rose | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Bridget Groble | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Talia Toland | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Grace Gear | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 13.2% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 18.1% | 16.4% |
| Ella Reinemann | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 6.2% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Ashley Delisser | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 9.8% |
| Katelon Egan | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 14.7% | 43.3% |
| Emma Kaneti | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.