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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.25+0.88vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University1.52+0.55vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.48-0.41vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon0.76-0.69vs Predicted
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5University of Puget Sound-1.01-0.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88University of Washington2.250.5%1st Place
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2.55Oregon State University1.520.2%1st Place
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2.59Western Washington University1.480.2%1st Place
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3.31University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
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4.68University of Puget Sound-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Thompson | 46.4% | 29.1% | 15.5% | 7.8% | 1.2% |
| Brian Hickman | 22.0% | 27.2% | 27.8% | 20.0% | 3.0% |
| Taylor Martin | 21.4% | 26.1% | 27.9% | 21.6% | 3.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 8.9% | 15.5% | 23.5% | 40.3% | 11.8% |
| William Service | 1.3% | 2.1% | 5.3% | 10.3% | 81.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.