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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.48+1.61vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University1.52+0.56vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.25-1.15vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon0.76-1.69vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound-1.01-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61Western Washington University1.480.2%1st Place
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2.56Oregon State University1.520.2%1st Place
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1.85University of Washington2.250.5%1st Place
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3.31University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
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4.67University of Puget Sound-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Martin | 21.1% | 26.5% | 27.3% | 20.8% | 4.3% |
| Brian Hickman | 21.3% | 28.0% | 26.9% | 21.0% | 2.8% |
| Kris Thompson | 46.6% | 29.2% | 17.1% | 6.5% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 9.8% | 14.0% | 23.1% | 42.0% | 11.1% |
| William Service | 1.2% | 2.3% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 81.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.