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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.24+7.47vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.29+4.04vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.97+3.07vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.31+5.16vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.81+2.68vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.44+2.41vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.37+4.78vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.37+0.48vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.16-1.49vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.18-1.54vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.08-4.13vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin0.72-1.16vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.21-6.33vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.13-1.25vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.48-6.82vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara-0.40-1.78vs Predicted
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17University of Miami0.48-5.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.47George Washington University1.245.8%1st Place
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6.04Brown University2.2911.5%1st Place
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6.07Jacksonville University1.9710.8%1st Place
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9.16University of Vermont1.314.6%1st Place
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7.68Tufts University1.816.3%1st Place
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8.41Old Dominion University1.445.9%1st Place
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11.78Boston University0.373.2%1st Place
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8.48Georgetown University1.376.1%1st Place
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7.51U. S. Naval Academy2.167.3%1st Place
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8.46Northeastern University1.185.2%1st Place
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6.87Harvard University2.088.2%1st Place
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10.84University of Wisconsin0.723.7%1st Place
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6.67Tulane University2.218.6%1st Place
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12.75SUNY Maritime College0.131.6%1st Place
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8.18Bowdoin College1.487.2%1st Place
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14.22University of California at Santa Barbara-0.401.2%1st Place
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11.41University of Miami0.482.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Olivia Belda | 11.5% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Rose | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Grace Gear | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.0% |
| Talia Toland | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Bridget Groble | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 12.2% |
| Riley Kloc | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Emma Kaneti | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Ella Reinemann | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 6.9% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 17.3% | 18.9% |
| Ellie Maus | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Katelon Egan | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 14.9% | 42.0% |
| Ashley Delisser | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.