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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.21+5.72vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.16+5.33vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.24+5.49vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.81+3.78vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.29+1.03vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.37+2.47vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.97-1.04vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.48+3.38vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.44-0.81vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.08-3.08vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.37+0.93vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.31-2.73vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.18-4.41vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.48-5.55vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.72-4.38vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.13-3.36vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara-0.40-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.72Tulane University2.219.0%1st Place
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7.33U. S. Naval Academy2.167.7%1st Place
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8.49George Washington University1.246.7%1st Place
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7.78Tufts University1.816.9%1st Place
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6.03Brown University2.2911.1%1st Place
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8.47Georgetown University1.375.0%1st Place
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5.96Jacksonville University1.9711.7%1st Place
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11.38University of Miami0.482.9%1st Place
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8.19Old Dominion University1.446.2%1st Place
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6.92Harvard University2.089.0%1st Place
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11.93Boston University0.372.3%1st Place
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9.27University of Vermont1.314.7%1st Place
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8.59Northeastern University1.185.8%1st Place
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8.45Bowdoin College1.485.3%1st Place
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10.62University of Wisconsin0.723.6%1st Place
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12.64SUNY Maritime College0.131.5%1st Place
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14.22University of California at Santa Barbara-0.400.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Talia Toland | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Olivia Belda | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Charlotte Rose | 11.7% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Delisser | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 10.7% |
| Bridget Groble | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Emma Kaneti | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 14.1% |
| Grace Gear | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Ella Reinemann | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 6.0% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 17.5% | 17.9% |
| Katelon Egan | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 16.7% | 39.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.