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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.16+6.41vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.21+4.69vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.44+5.45vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.29+2.09vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.48+3.27vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.24+2.49vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.81+0.71vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.37+0.55vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.18-0.49vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.37+1.98vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.13+1.75vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.97-5.89vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.72-2.18vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.08-7.24vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara-0.40-0.91vs Predicted
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16University of Miami0.48-4.80vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.31-7.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.41U. S. Naval Academy2.168.0%1st Place
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6.69Tulane University2.219.4%1st Place
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8.45Old Dominion University1.445.3%1st Place
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6.09Brown University2.2910.5%1st Place
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8.27Bowdoin College1.486.0%1st Place
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8.49George Washington University1.245.7%1st Place
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7.71Tufts University1.817.5%1st Place
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8.55Georgetown University1.375.7%1st Place
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8.51Northeastern University1.186.0%1st Place
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11.98Boston University0.372.6%1st Place
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12.75SUNY Maritime College0.131.5%1st Place
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6.11Jacksonville University1.9710.2%1st Place
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10.82University of Wisconsin0.723.5%1st Place
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6.76Harvard University2.089.6%1st Place
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14.09University of California at Santa Barbara-0.401.2%1st Place
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11.2University of Miami0.482.5%1st Place
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9.13University of Vermont1.314.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia de Olazarra | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Bridget Groble | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Olivia Belda | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Talia Toland | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 12.9% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 17.4% | 19.6% |
| Charlotte Rose | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ella Reinemann | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 6.6% |
| Emma Kaneti | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Katelon Egan | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 15.6% | 41.0% |
| Ashley Delisser | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 8.9% |
| Grace Gear | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.