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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.21+5.67vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.29+3.93vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.48+5.39vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.37+4.34vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.81+2.44vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.97-0.02vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.44+1.18vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College0.13+4.35vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.24-0.74vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.16-2.76vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.31-1.89vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.18-3.61vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.72-2.63vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.08-7.25vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.37-3.43vs Predicted
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16University of Miami-0.37-2.06vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara-0.40-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.67Tulane University2.2110.0%1st Place
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5.93Brown University2.2911.0%1st Place
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8.39Bowdoin College1.485.4%1st Place
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8.34Georgetown University1.375.6%1st Place
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7.44Tufts University1.818.8%1st Place
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5.98Jacksonville University1.9710.7%1st Place
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8.18Old Dominion University1.445.3%1st Place
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12.35SUNY Maritime College0.132.3%1st Place
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8.26George Washington University1.245.4%1st Place
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7.24U. S. Naval Academy2.167.7%1st Place
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9.11University of Vermont1.315.0%1st Place
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8.39Northeastern University1.185.5%1st Place
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10.37University of Wisconsin0.723.9%1st Place
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6.75Harvard University2.088.1%1st Place
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11.57Boston University0.372.9%1st Place
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13.94University of Miami-0.371.1%1st Place
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14.1University of California at Santa Barbara-0.401.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Belda | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Talia Toland | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte Rose | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Clara Guarascio | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 14.5% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Grace Gear | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Ella Reinemann | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 4.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 8.3% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 19.2% | 32.7% |
| Katelon Egan | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 20.2% | 34.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.