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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.25+0.88vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon0.76+1.32vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.48-0.45vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University1.52-1.44vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound-1.01-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88University of Washington2.250.5%1st Place
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3.32University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
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2.55Western Washington University1.480.2%1st Place
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2.56Oregon State University1.520.2%1st Place
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4.69University of Puget Sound-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Thompson | 47.1% | 27.8% | 16.4% | 7.3% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 9.2% | 13.1% | 24.6% | 42.8% | 10.3% |
| Taylor Martin | 21.6% | 27.8% | 27.2% | 20.4% | 3.0% |
| Brian Hickman | 20.9% | 29.0% | 26.9% | 19.6% | 3.6% |
| William Service | 1.2% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 9.9% | 81.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.