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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Oregon0.76+2.33vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.25-0.13vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.48-0.42vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University1.52-1.44vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound-1.01-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
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1.87University of Washington2.250.4%1st Place
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2.58Western Washington University1.480.2%1st Place
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2.56Oregon State University1.520.2%1st Place
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4.66University of Puget Sound-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Fritsen | 10.4% | 13.8% | 22.5% | 39.5% | 13.8% |
| Kris Thompson | 44.8% | 30.2% | 18.4% | 6.1% | 0.5% |
| Taylor Martin | 22.1% | 25.4% | 28.0% | 21.5% | 3.0% |
| Brian Hickman | 21.3% | 28.5% | 25.8% | 21.3% | 3.1% |
| William Service | 1.4% | 2.1% | 5.3% | 11.6% | 79.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.