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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College0.13+11.53vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.37+6.34vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.21+3.55vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.29+1.86vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.16+2.30vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.48+2.34vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.08-0.36vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.72+2.40vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.31+0.17vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.97-4.03vs Predicted
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11University of Miami-0.37+2.75vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.81-4.51vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.18-4.58vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.44-5.87vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.37-3.35vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.24-7.59vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara-0.40-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.53SUNY Maritime College0.131.6%1st Place
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8.34Georgetown University1.376.2%1st Place
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6.55Tulane University2.219.4%1st Place
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5.86Brown University2.2912.2%1st Place
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7.3U. S. Naval Academy2.167.6%1st Place
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8.34Bowdoin College1.485.3%1st Place
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6.64Harvard University2.089.0%1st Place
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10.4University of Wisconsin0.723.5%1st Place
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9.17University of Vermont1.315.1%1st Place
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5.97Jacksonville University1.9710.0%1st Place
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13.75University of Miami-0.371.2%1st Place
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7.49Tufts University1.817.4%1st Place
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8.42Northeastern University1.186.5%1st Place
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8.13Old Dominion University1.446.1%1st Place
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11.65Boston University0.371.9%1st Place
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8.41George Washington University1.245.6%1st Place
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14.03University of California at Santa Barbara-0.401.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clara Guarascio | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 17.0% | 15.3% |
| Riley Kloc | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Belda | 12.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Emma Kaneti | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ella Reinemann | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 4.6% |
| Grace Gear | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Charlotte Rose | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 18.3% | 31.4% |
| Talia Toland | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Bridget Groble | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 8.8% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Katelon Egan | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 18.6% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.