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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.16+6.27vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.21+4.69vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.08+3.70vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.44+4.21vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.81+2.49vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.97-0.09vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.29-1.03vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.48+0.25vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin0.72+1.60vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College0.13+2.30vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.24-2.68vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University1.37-3.68vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.37-1.20vs Predicted
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14University of Miami-0.37-0.14vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.18-6.73vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.31-6.82vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara-0.40-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27U. S. Naval Academy2.167.8%1st Place
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6.69Tulane University2.218.8%1st Place
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6.7Harvard University2.089.3%1st Place
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8.21Old Dominion University1.445.3%1st Place
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7.49Tufts University1.818.2%1st Place
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5.91Jacksonville University1.9712.6%1st Place
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5.97Brown University2.2910.9%1st Place
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8.25Bowdoin College1.486.1%1st Place
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10.6University of Wisconsin0.722.9%1st Place
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12.3SUNY Maritime College0.132.5%1st Place
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8.32George Washington University1.245.4%1st Place
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8.32Georgetown University1.375.5%1st Place
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11.8Boston University0.372.5%1st Place
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13.86University of Miami-0.371.1%1st Place
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8.27Northeastern University1.185.5%1st Place
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9.18University of Vermont1.314.4%1st Place
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13.86University of California at Santa Barbara-0.401.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Emma Kaneti | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Talia Toland | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte Rose | 12.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Ella Reinemann | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 4.7% |
| Clara Guarascio | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 14.2% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 11.0% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 19.6% | 31.6% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Grace Gear | 4.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Katelon Egan | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 18.8% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.