← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington2.10+0.62vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University0.90+0.57vs Predicted
-
4University of Oregon1.55-1.96vs Predicted
-
6University of Puget Sound-0.98-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.62University of Washington2.100.5%1st Place
-
2.57Western Washington University0.900.2%1st Place
-
2.04University of Oregon1.550.3%1st Place
-
3.76University of Puget Sound-0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lily Grimshaw | 53.7% | 32.2% | 12.3% | 1.8% |
| Jake Fetterman | 15.5% | 21.7% | 52.8% | 10.0% |
| Stephen Moran | 29.3% | 41.3% | 25.2% | 4.2% |
| Lauren Engstrom | 1.5% | 4.8% | 9.7% | 84.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.