← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College1.48+7.27vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.16+5.20vs Predicted
-
3Tulane University2.21+3.58vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.08+2.70vs Predicted
-
5Brown University2.29+0.94vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University1.18+2.64vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University1.44+1.26vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University1.24+0.33vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University1.37-0.80vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont1.31-0.93vs Predicted
-
11University of Wisconsin0.72-0.68vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University1.81-4.24vs Predicted
-
13SUNY Maritime College0.13-0.60vs Predicted
-
14Jacksonville University1.97-8.07vs Predicted
-
15Boston University0.37-3.32vs Predicted
-
16University of Miami-0.37-2.29vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Santa Barbara-0.40-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.27Bowdoin College1.486.5%1st Place
-
7.2U. S. Naval Academy2.168.8%1st Place
-
6.58Tulane University2.218.5%1st Place
-
6.7Harvard University2.088.5%1st Place
-
5.94Brown University2.2910.5%1st Place
-
8.64Northeastern University1.185.7%1st Place
-
8.26Old Dominion University1.445.5%1st Place
-
8.33George Washington University1.246.1%1st Place
-
8.2Georgetown University1.375.6%1st Place
-
9.07University of Vermont1.314.3%1st Place
-
10.32University of Wisconsin0.723.4%1st Place
-
7.76Tufts University1.817.1%1st Place
-
12.4SUNY Maritime College0.131.8%1st Place
-
5.93Jacksonville University1.9712.0%1st Place
-
11.68Boston University0.372.9%1st Place
-
13.71University of Miami-0.371.5%1st Place
-
13.99University of California at Santa Barbara-0.401.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Maus | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Belda | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Grace Gear | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Ella Reinemann | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 5.1% |
| Talia Toland | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 15.2% |
| Charlotte Rose | 12.0% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 9.6% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 20.0% | 30.2% |
| Katelon Egan | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 19.3% | 32.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.