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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.10+0.64vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon1.55-1.93vs Predicted
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5University of Puget Sound-0.98-1.27vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.90-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.64University of Washington2.100.5%1st Place
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2.07University of Oregon1.550.3%1st Place
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3.73University of Puget Sound-0.980.0%1st Place
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2.56Western Washington University0.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lily Grimshaw | 53.3% | 31.1% | 14.0% | 1.6% |
| Stephen Moran | 29.1% | 38.5% | 28.7% | 3.7% |
| Lauren Engstrom | 2.6% | 4.8% | 9.1% | 83.5% |
| Jake Fetterman | 15.0% | 25.6% | 48.2% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.