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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.73+5.60vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.32+5.89vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.92+2.85vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.90+1.76vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.25+4.35vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.04-0.38vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.17+5.55vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University-1.38-0.30vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.07-2.95vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.95-0.65vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.88-1.22vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.14-3.15vs Predicted
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13University of Miami0.23-1.23vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.23-2.03vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University1.29-7.36vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin-0.99-0.96vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.48-5.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.6Tulane University1.738.6%1st Place
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7.89George Washington University1.325.9%1st Place
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5.85Brown University1.9211.8%1st Place
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5.76Harvard University1.9010.3%1st Place
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9.35Tufts University1.254.3%1st Place
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5.62U. S. Naval Academy2.0412.5%1st Place
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12.55Northeastern University0.171.9%1st Place
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7.7Jacksonville University-1.386.3%1st Place
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6.05Bowdoin College2.0711.1%1st Place
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9.35Old Dominion University0.954.2%1st Place
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9.78University of Rhode Island0.883.2%1st Place
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8.85Boston University1.144.9%1st Place
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11.77University of Miami0.231.9%1st Place
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11.97SUNY Maritime College0.232.3%1st Place
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7.64Georgetown University1.296.9%1st Place
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15.04University of Wisconsin-0.990.6%1st Place
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11.24University of Vermont0.483.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Benson | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Bayless | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 12.5% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 20.8% | 13.5% |
| Emily Allen | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 11.1% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Molly Coghlin | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Leah Harper | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 7.7% |
| Marleigh Henehan | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 10.2% |
| Morgan Sailer | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Sophie Lusty | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 14.0% | 54.3% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.